Political risk management practices of Multinational Corporations: their approaches to deal with developing countries under economic sanctions
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1344/jesb2020.2.j081Paraules clau:
Political Risk, Economic Sanctions, Multinational Corporations, Developing Countries, Least-Developed Countries, Emerging Market Countries, Games TheoryResum
This article explores adjustments to the traditional political risk management practices followed by Multinational Corporations (MNCs) in their international operations to incorporate an increasingly concerning risk arising from the more frequent imposition of economic sanctions on developing countries over the last ten years for political purposes. In order to identify the main determinants of this risk and its consequences, a literature review is conducted, highlighting the models proposed by Tsebelis (1990) and Kakutami (2017) as the main frameworks to understand the dynamics for sanctions impositions, their frequency and the management of this risk by traditional MNCs from developed countries. Kakutami’s model is further enhanced in this article with a game theoretical model to understand the dynamic behavior of MNCs under this context, considering evidences of a growing presence in international markets of MNCs from developing countries, whose motivations for their expansion are explored. Finally, different political risk mitigating strategies are reviewed to explore their suitability to MNCs, with particular emphasis on the use of insurance to cover this risk and its effects on MNCs’ willingness to engage with sanctioned countries. As a general finding, from a reputational point of view, MNCs should take a more active role in their network analysis to identify their direct and indirect exposure to this risk, given the more frequent imposition of sanctions with an extraterritorial reach.
Descàrregues
Referències
Adesnik, David, and Saeed Ghasseminejad. 2018. “Foreign Investment in Iran: Multinational Firms’ Compliance with US Sanctions.” Research Memo, Foundation for Defense of Democracies – FDD. Accessed December 10, 2019. doi:10.2139/ssrn.3257581.
Afesorgbor, Sylvanus. 2019. “The impact of economic sanctions on international trade: How do threatened sanctions compare with imposed sanctions.” European Journal of Political Economy 56:11-26. doi:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2018.06.002
Axa Insurance. 2019. “Products / Trade Credit Insurance.” Accessed December 28, 2019. https://axaxl.com/insurance/products/trade-credit-insurance.
Brink, Charlotte H. 2004. Measuring Political Risk: Risk to Foreign Investment. Ashgate Publishing: Aldershot.
Business & Sanctions Consulting Netherlands. 2019. “Sanctions Risk List Countries.” Accessed December 9. https://www.bscn.nl/en/sanctions-consulting/sanctions-list-countries.
Casanova, Lourdes, and Anne Miroux. 2016. “The rise of emerging market multinationals: this is how they can become global industry leaders.” World Economic Forum. Accessed December 9, 2019. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/12/emerging-market-multinationals/.
Davarzani, Hoda, Reza Zanjirani Farahani and Hazir Rahmandad Rahmandad. 2015. “Understanding eco-political risks: Impact of sanctions on an automotive supply chain.” International Journal of Operations and Production Management 35(11): 1567-1591. doi:10.1108/IJOPM-01-2013-0021.
Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer. 2017. “A Regulated World – Sanctions.” Accessed February 16, 2020. https://www.freshfields.com/globalassets/our-thinking/campaigns/sanctions_guide.pdf.
Garcia-Canal, Esteban, Mauro and Guillen.2008. “Risk and the strategy of foreign location choice in regulated industries.” Strategic Management Journal 29(10): 1097-1115. doi:10.1002/smj.692
GeoQuant. 2019. “How.” Accessed March 20, 2020. https://www.geoquant.io/
Gomez-Mera, Laura, Thomas Kenyon, Yotam Margalit, José Reis, and Gonzalo Varela. 2014. New Voices in Investment: A Survey of Investors from Emerging Countries. Washington, DC: International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank, First ed.
Gregory, Ann. 1988. “Integrative and Protective Techniques in Reducing Political Risk: A Comparison of American and Canadian Firms in Indonesia.” In Global Risk Assessment: Issues, Concepts, and Application, edited by Jerry Rogers, 98-116. Riverside: Global Risk Assessments Inc.
Hufbauer, Gary Clyde, Jeffrey J. Schott, Kimberly Elliott, and Barbara Oegg. 2007. Economic Sanctions Reconsidered. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics. 3rd Edition.
International Labour Office – ILO. 1992. Study on the embargo of coal exports from South Africa. Report, Geneva: International Labour Office.
Kaempfer, William H., and Anton D. Lowenberg. 2007. “The Political Economy of Economic Sanctions.” In Handbook of Defense Economics. Defense in a Globalized World, edited by Todd Sandler and Keith Hartley. Vol. 2, 867-911. doi:10.1016/S1574-0013(06)02027-8.
International Monetary Fund. 2015. “World Economic Outlook – October 2015.” Washington D.C.: International Monetary Fund.Accessed May 28th, 2020. https://www.imf.org/~/media/Websites/IMF/imported-flagship-issues/external/pubs/ft/weo/2015/02/pdf/_text.ashx
Kakutami, Yuichiro 2017. “MNC Decision Making Under Sanctions: South Africa and Rodhesia.” Cornell International Affairs Review 11(1): 102-139.
Kobrin, Stephen J. 2009. “Private political authority and public responsibility: transnational politics, transnational firms and human rights.” Business Ethics Quarterly 19(3): 349-371.
Li, Shaomin, and Ajai Gaur. 2014. “Financial Giants and Moral Pygmies: Multinational corporations and human rights in emerging markets.” International Journal of Emerging Markets 9(1): 11-32.
Madhok, Annop and Rogerio Marques. 2013. “Competing on Action: Business Models and the Competitiveness of Emerging Market Enterprises.” SSRN Working Paper. Accessed December 9, 2019. doi:10.2139/ssrn.2376337.
Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency – MIGA. 2011. “The Political Risk Insurance Industry.” In, World Investment and Political Risck 2010, 52-72. Washington: Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency. doi: https:10.1596/978-0-8213-8478-7.
Morgan, T. Clifton, Navin Bapat, and Valentin Krustev. 2009. “The Threat and Imposition of Economic Sanctions, 1971–2000.” Conflict Management and Peace Science 26(1): 92–110. doi:10.1177%2F0738894208097668.
Mourdoukoutas, Panos. 2019. “World's 500 Largest Corporations in 2019: China Matches America.” Forbes, July 23. Accessed March 20, 2020. https://www.forbes.com/sites/panosmourdoukoutas/2019/07/23/worlds-500-largest-corporations-in-2019-china-matches-america/#53adb0151383.
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development – OECD. 2000. Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises: Revision 2000. Vol. 2006. Paris: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development.
Oxford Analytica and Willis Towers Watson. 2017. “How are leading companies managing today’s political risk.” Survey and Report. Accessed December 15, 2019. https://www.oxan.com/media/1955/oa_wtw-political-risk_sep-2017.pdf.
Oxford Analytica and Willis Towers Watson. 2019. “How are leading companies managing today’s political risk.” Survey and Report. Accessed December 15. https://www.willistowerswatson.com/en-US/Insights/2019/12/2019-political-risk-survey-report.
Pradiptyo, Rimawan .2007. “Does Punishment Matter? A Refinement of the Inspection Game.” Review of Law and Economics 3(2): 197-219. doi:10.2202/1555-5879.1099.
Rasmusen, Eric. 2001. Games and Information: an introduction to games theory. Oxford: Blackwell Publisher, 3rd Edition.
Salazar, Ronald J, Jifu Wang, Rupak Rauniar, and Xiuli Wang. 2018. “A game analysis of MNC CSR in China.” Cogent Business & Management 5(1): 1-13. doi: 10.1080/23311975.2017.1409685.
Sompo International. 2019. “Insurance / London Market and Europe Political & Financial Risk.” Accessed December 28, 2019. https://www.sompo-intl.com/insurance/london-market-and-europe-political-financial-risk/.
Sovereign Risk Insurance. 2019. “Other customized covers.” Accessed March 15. https://www.sovereignbermuda.com/our-products/other-customized-covers/.
The Berne Union. 2020. “Members.” Accessed March 20. https://www.berneunion.org/.
Tolentino, Paz. 2012. “Innovation and Multinational Companies from Emerging Economies: The Search for New Explanations.” Paper presented at the Third Copenhagen Conference on “Emerging Multinationals”:Outward Investment from Emerging Economies, Copenhagen, Denmark, October 25-26. Accessed March 1, 2020. http://gdex.dk/ofdi12/Paz%20Estrella%20Tolentino%20-%20Draft%205.pdf
Transparency International. 2016. “Transparency in Corporate Reporting: assessing emerging markets multinationals.” Accessed December 14, 2019. https://issuu.com/transparencyinternational/docs/2016_transparencyincorporatereporti?e=2496456/37122985.
Tsebelis, George. 1990. “Are sanctions effective: A game theoretic analysis.” Journal of Conflict Resolution, 34(1):3-28. doi:10.1177/0022002790034001001
United Nations Human Rights - UNHR. 2011. Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights. Implementing the United Nations “Protect, Respect and Remedy” Framework, New York and Geneva: United Nations Human Rights.
US Congress. 2012. “The Iran Threat Reduction and Syria Human Rights Act of 2012.” Public Law, 112–158—August 10, 2012, Washington: US Congress. Accessed April 19, 2019. https://www.congress.gov/112/plaws/publ158/PLAW-112publ158.pdf.
World Bank. 2018. “World Bank Country and Lending Groups.” Accessed March 5, 2020. https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519#High_income.